As the ceasefire is set to take effect on Sunday, all eyes will be on Hamas's final moments before implementation. Historically, Hamas has launched final rocket salvos to signal its intention for future rounds of conflict. Whether it refrains this time could indicate a shift towards Gaza's reconstruction rather than continued warfare.

This signal carries particular significance for Gaza's rehabilitation prospects. If Hamas indicates it hasn't abandoned its "muqawama" (resistance) doctrine, potential donors will likely hesitate to invest in reconstruction, leaving Gaza in ruins for the foreseeable future.

Notably, Israel continues its bombardment until the final moment, signaling its readiness to resume intensive combat at the first Hamas violation, or perhaps deterring Hamas from its customary final strike.

Should Hamas refrain from a final salvo, the implications extend beyond the Israel-Gaza conflict, resonating particularly with developments in Lebanon. This could mark the region's transition to a post-resistance era. While neither immediate nor definitive, the Israeli Air Force's disruption of the Shiite arc has created conditions for this new chapter, as evidenced in Lebanon's recent developments.

The appointment of General Joseph Aoun as army commander and his inaugural speech marked Lebanon's departure from resistance ideology. His declaration of positive neutrality policy and commitment against initiating conflict with Israel represents a significant shift. Moreover, the ceasefire agreement outlines preliminary Israeli-Lebanese military cooperation: if Lebanon's army cannot disarm Hezbollah units, it may request Israeli assistance. Significantly, the Hochstein framework explicitly states the ceasefire's goal as achieving sustainable peace between Lebanon and Israel.

The new Lebanese president's insistence on military monopoly over weapons extends to Palestinian refugee camps. The Lebanese army's planned entry into these camps, contrary to the 1969 Cairo Agreement with the PLO, would effectively end Palestinian armed presence in Lebanon.

Who remains committed to the resistance principle? Iran, though this appears more about maintaining leverage in nuclear negotiations with Trump than pursuing Soleimani-style resistance, and Turkey.

The transfer of significant released prisoners to Turkey might tempt Erdogan to leverage the resistance for his benefit. The meeting in Turkey between Marwan Barghouti's associates and Hamas's West Bank leader Zaher Jabarin could herald Turkish involvement in Hamas's West Bank operations, parallel to Israeli-Turkish tensions over Syria.

This strengthens Israeli-Egyptian interests, with Rafah crossing's early opening potentially signaling improved relations. Egypt has dropped its insistence on Abu Mazen's involvement at border crossings, and it's noteworthy who will manage the Palestinian side – Hamas or "neutral" Palestinian figures. Egypt now seeks international, possibly European, involvement to replace Israel's current role, paralleling Lebanon's trend toward temporary Western patronage for reconstruction.