If the ceasefire arrangement is indeed respected, it contains elements that could stabilize Lebanon and potentially pave the way for a future peace agreement between Lebanon and Israel within the framework of the Abraham Accords.

This is because the United States serves as the guarantor of the agreement and will be the arbiter of who violates it, and under what conditions Israel can respond to Hezbollah violations. One could say that the United States is serving as a substitute for the security zone for northern Israeli settlements, while simultaneously protecting Lebanese state sovereignty.

In this context, it's important to note that there is no clause restricting the Israeli Air Force's freedom of flight in Lebanese airspace, meaning: Lebanese skies remain open to the IAF for surveillance, though not for attacks.

The real outcome of the war is that Hezbollah was defeated, at a heavy cost to the Israeli home front, but at an even heavier price paid by Lebanon, particularly the Shiite community in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley. This is likely to weaken the connection between the devastated community and the organization that dragged it into such massive destruction.

This war has broken the "Shiite Crescent," meaning Lebanon has disconnected itself from Gaza, and Iran, if serious about genuine negotiations with the United States, must abandon the regional Shiite Crescent. This is the true significance behind Saudi Arabia's overtures toward Iran and Assad.

Hezbollah's weakening creates an opening for Saudi influence, which is already evident as Saudi Arabia flies civilian aid to Lebanon's affected populations through Beirut airport.

The combination of American and Saudi involvement is gradually pushing Hezbollah out, though this is a process rather than an immediate change.

Iran immediately announced its readiness to negotiate with the United States, regarding both Lebanon and broader issues, including a new nuclear agreement, while Mikati announced the beginning of Lebanon's restoration as a state.

What might overshadow the rehabilitation process is the clause about future negotiations on demarcating the Israel-Lebanon border. Lebanon lacks an agreed-upon border with Syria, and there is no reason to renew future tensions over the Shebaa Farms and other minor points that Hezbollah has exploited in its destructive path through Israel and Lebanon.